I usually write to you when the market makes big moves, and over the past few days, the market has been gyrating up and down. Here’s something I really want you to take to heart: Investing is all about time in the market, not timing the market.
Yesterday, for example, the Nasdaq was up around 2%, and today as I write this, it’s down even more than that. Zoom out and take a long-term view. Don’t get caught up in the short-term noise. Remember, you’re a long-term investor!
Today I want to address something called market psychology.
Market psychology is all about the way investors feel at any one point in time. But it also includes the tendency for investors to act with their emotions, rather than stick to their long-term financial plans.
There’s a lot going on with the economy and with markets today. The U.S. is beginning to feel the impact of a trade war with China. An important indicator in the bond market, called the yield curve, is flashing red lights. And there’s a lot of uncertainty in global markets too.
As a long-term investor, however, it’s important to tune out the noise of the day, and buy small amounts of stocks, bonds, and funds on a regular basis, through the market ups and downs. Turn on Auto-Stash to help you do that.
Volatility is normal
It’s understandable for someone to be nervous when the market moves sharply down. It can be uncomfortable, especially if this is your first time investing during one of these periods. Hey, I was a beginner investor once, too.
I remember investing through my first bear market in the early 2000s right after the Dot-com bust. It wasn’t fun seeing my account balance decline; however, I always had a long-term perspective. In 2008, I lived through another big market correction. But again, I thought long-term and maintained my focus.
Why thinking long-term is key
It’s important to think about why a long-term investor shouldn’t get emotional over these types of market gyrations.
Over time, the stock market will go up and down. Look at this chart compiled by New York University’s Stern School of Business, which shows market performance since 1928. You’ll see some really good years, and some nasty years as well. The coolest thing to see is the compounding value of stocks, throughout the good and bad years.
Here’s what it all means. Over the last 90 years, annual returns for the S&P 500 have been positive three quarters of the time. Nearly half the time (11 out of 24 down years) any losses were recovered within two years. It has never taken more than 7 years to fully recover.
A prudent investor who bought regularly throughout this period (and didn’t panic or make rash decisions) would have seen a full recovery from all the down markets.
Important disclosure and takeaway: This is what happened in the past. It is by no means a guarantee of what will happen in the future. The key thing to understand from history is how bad years and good years follow each other pretty consistently over time. It’s the nature of the market.
How to think like a long-term investor
The majority of Stashers are new to investing. It’s our job to keep educating you on this long-term journey, and we take this very seriously. There are 3 million of you now with Stash accounts, and many of you all joined at different times.
Here’s the big tip: It doesn’t matter when you started. We aren’t market timers so the goal is not to buy something all at once, but rather to buy small amounts at different prices over a long period of time.
As an investor, you own real shares of public companies, bonds and other asset classes. These assets—or shares—are tangible and real and their prices move up and down. Your invest account isn’t a bank account, but instead represents money that you are putting away for the long term. Think of it like owning a home. Its value will go up and down over time.
Turn on Auto-Stash
Turn on or update your Auto-Stash. It’s the easiest way to add small amounts of money on a regular basis. This way, you’ll avoid the emotional aspect of investing and won’t get fooled into trying to time the market.
Auto-Stash is an incredibly powerful tool, and an essential part of the Stash Way.
Work hard, earn your money, and then make it work hard for you. By taking a long-term view and consistently investing small amounts, you can allow your money to work for you.
Remember the Stash Way
Investing can be confusing, especially when markets become volatile.
That’s why we’ve boiled down our investing philosophy into three basic principles that we hope can guide you as you make your first investing decisions. We call our approach the Stash Way. Here are its three pillars:
- Invest for the long-term
- Invest regularly
When in doubt, follow the Stash Way, which you can learn more about here.
We look forward to many great years ahead, as we help you meet your financial goals.
Thanks—and keep on Stashing!
Ps. We love to hear from you and value your feedback. Please write to my co-founder and me at: [email protected]